Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.243261 0.281865 0.324603 0.375430 0.434243 0.500176 0.579732
2025-08-03 0.181616 0.232990 0.295840 0.378411 0.484115 0.615025 0.789707
2025-08-10 0.145638 0.200485 0.272389 0.373606 0.512587 0.697020 0.960939
2025-08-17 0.118827 0.173249 0.248732 0.361141 0.524566 0.754008 1.101615
2025-08-24 0.104866 0.160699 0.242011 0.369161 0.563410 0.849782 1.305679
2025-08-31 0.092276 0.147840 0.232368 0.370445 0.590950 0.930554 1.495712
2025-09-07 0.082943 0.138392 0.226169 0.375385 0.623520 1.021235 1.710469
2025-09-14 0.072747 0.126020 0.213513 0.367831 0.634240 1.077296 1.874453
2025-09-21 0.065031 0.116680 0.204472 0.364756 0.651331 1.144679 2.064062
2025-09-28 0.059505 0.110359 0.199653 0.368075 0.679325 1.232917 2.299372
2025-10-05 0.056940 0.108980 0.203219 0.386562 0.736217 1.377710 2.653157
2025-10-12 0.053931 0.106365 0.204149 0.400089 0.785144 1.512786 3.003758
2025-10-19 0.050838 0.103325 0.204131 0.412197 0.833556 1.653759 3.385941
2025-10-26 0.047001 0.098363 0.199876 0.415527 0.865221 1.766217 3.725868
2025-11-02 0.042707 0.091920 0.191899 0.410249 0.878550 1.843195 4.001452
2025-11-09 0.038111 0.084275 0.180571 0.396557 0.872489 1.879361 4.194285
2025-11-16 0.036048 0.081832 0.179822 0.405366 0.915595 2.023371 4.638600
2025-11-23 0.033559 0.078138 0.175946 0.406777 0.942405 2.134840 5.022942
2025-11-30 0.031620 0.075456 0.173977 0.412203 0.978785 2.271178 5.480141
2025-12-07 0.028875 0.070566 0.166476 0.403906 0.982247 2.332910 5.768318
2025-12-14 0.026732 0.066863 0.161307 0.400528 0.996962 2.422247 6.133647
2025-12-21 0.025224 0.064538 0.159136 0.404174 1.029172 2.556622 6.626477
2025-12-28 0.024803 0.064888 0.163463 0.424480 1.105269 2.806130 7.441396